no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics

On the Record: Thoughts on Free Banking

April 21st, 2009

Just some thoughts, for the time being.  Nothing substantive, yet.

People use banks not primarily to store money, or to earn interest on their deposits (most people earn an alarmingly paltry return on checkable deposits and savings accounts alike) but to facilitate the tendering and receipt of payments. Many methods of saving/investing are superior to deposit accounts: short-term CDs, mutual funds, diversified and staggered interpersonal loans granted on a P2P site like prosper.com, etc.

The ease with which one can now effect the purchase of a good, immediately and across the continent (or the globe!), is a valuable service in its own right.

Depositors of free fractional-reserve banks have a right (subject to some qualifications/restrictions) to redeem their deposits in base money.  What, if any, would be the criteria for holding bankers personally liable for violating their fiduciary obligations in the event of insolvency?

In what medium are fractional-reserve bank loans denominated and how are they to be repaid? Are borrowers required to repay in base money?  If not, where does the interest portion of their payments come from?

My hunch is that nobody, anywhere, ever, has had an interest-bearing deposit account that, for any chosen time interval, has outperformed durable commodities. (I’ll admit that I’m shooting from the hip with this argument.)

In an advanced economy, monetary evolution results in more-or-less widespread use of fiduciary media.

Why does a fractional reserve bank have to loan out 90% of your money in order to pay you 0.25% interest?

Do you really think that you’re not getting totally fucked by inflation?  Really?

Insurers to Sacrifice Risk-Rating in Exchange for Monopoly

March 25th, 2009

In yesterday’s post about the actuarial necessity of Pre-Existing Conditions exclusions, someone left a comment here accusing me of not knowing what “adverse selection” is1, and that maybe Politicians do know. So it was fortunate for me, that my friend Zach e-mailed me this article from this morning’s NYT, which gives me the opportunity to demonstrate yet again that politicians either don’t know anything about the industries they’re attempting to regulate, or, if they do, they’re more than willing to sell us out to the highest bidder.  In fact, I propose that one of the only things politicians are any good at, is colluding with Big Business in order to steal from the rest of us.

The article describes how some of the big players in the Insurance industry have pulled an about-face, and are now prepared to drop their policy of charging higher premiums to those people with existing conditions or poor health histories, otherwise known as actuarially sound risk management:

Insurers said they were willing to discard an element of their longstanding business model — pricing insurance policies, in part, on the basis of a person’s medical condition or history.

To review: broadly, there are only two types of people who don’t have insurance:

  1. Those who want it, but can’t afford it
  2. Those who can afford it, but don’t want it.

When insurers are able to charge premiums based on risk, and some choose not to, low-risk customers will defect to companies willing to accurately price them, and high-risk customers will for the most part flock to the companies that neglect risk-management in favor of non-discriminatory pricing. This is a move that guarantees bankruptcy for any company which practices it. Because of this, no insurer can individually pursue a policy of ignoring very relevant factors, like medical history, existing/pre-existing conditions, etc., because the non- or the not-as- risky policy holders will defect to another company willing to pool their individual risk with others who are more similar. Competition and knowledge generally render null any attempt to secure profits by adverse selection.

What insurance companies all would like to do, is insure as many low-risk (and as few high-risk) individuals as possible. But they can’t do this, unless they also control prices, and the only way they can come close to controlling price is if everyone, or nearly everyone has to buy policies from them. So there’s one very important caveat to Big Insurance’s “concession”. They want Congress to do some favors for the insurance industry.  They need the strong arm of the government to force these people (and there are a lot of them!1) to buy from them.

…In the past, insurers have warned that if they could not consider a person’s health status in setting premiums, the rates charged to young, healthy people would need to soar. But they said Tuesday that they were exploring ideas to prevent such sharp increases by spreading the risk and costs broadly across a larger population, including the healthy and the unhealthy

Translation: all your money are belong to us.

In exchange for risk-rated pricing the insurance industry would like Congress to adopt “A comprehensive plan requiring all Americans to carry insurance.” Think about what that means for a moment: Businesses are willing to give up otherwise sound business practices in exchange for Oligopoly/Monpoly market power, and the rents that might be extracted from the people, if they can get their way, which would allow them to “spread the risk and costs broadly across a larger population”. And they probably will, what with “Universal Coverage” being politically à la mode.

In their letter to Congress on Tuesday, Ms. Ignagni (of America’s Health Insurance Plans) and Mr. Serota (of Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association) said that if Congress enacted an enforceable requirement for everyone to carry health insurance, “we could guarantee issue of coverage with no pre-existing condition exclusions and phase out the practice of varying premiums based on health status in the individual market.”

Risk shouldn’t be “spread across the whole population,” especially when it’s distinctly identifiable and largely controllable. Otherwise, it destroys any incentive for people to be responsible for their own actions (encouraging socially undesirable behavior and consequences. It breeds contempt for others, who have no more regard for their fellow man. It violates every notion of justice and equity in the name of “fairness” and “progress.” And this so-called “progress” destroys charity, compassion, and community.

If this becomes law, that choice currently exercised by 28 million people will become a punishable offense. Most of them will “consent” and buy whatever minimum policy they can get away with. Thus, “universal” coverage is achieved when those people who don’t want it (but can afford it) are forced to pay premiums in order to support the others who want it (but don’t want to pay for it). This is not a free market, it’s fucking fascism. And when it fails (and it will fail) don’t you dare make a scapegoat out of the “free market”, because I told you so.

Whenever you see the word “require” or “enforce” especially when it pertains to your health and well-being, you should be very afraid.

+++++

1. Adverse selection can be summarized thusly: when insurers can’t charge premiums based on risk, all insurers seek to only insure those individuals who are the least exposed to potential loss. In theory, at some point the market disappears, because insurers are only willing to underwrite people who have little to no probabilistic need for coverage.

2. One popularly cited figure is that “46 million” American’s don’t have health insurance. Except that a quarter of the people counted in that figure aren’t even citizens. The remaining 36 million are disproportionately young and a majority of them (61%) earn more than $50,000 per year — above the median income. This proposal would require all 28 million of these folks to buy something that they are already free to purchase, if they’d like — they just choose not to.

Considering Redistribution of Property

March 9th, 2009

I’m inclined towards the argument that it would be extremely unlikely (although probably not impossible) for an individual to amass vast fortunes, or even come to ‘own’ something like a factory in a free market, but the only arguments that I’ll entertain seriously, contra “capital” (defined as “non-trivial” means of production like factories, etc.) is the argument that in a free market, these phenomena would be unnecessary or unlikely from an economic viability point-of-view.

A while back, Brad Spangler wrote the following about the redistribution of property, with regards to the homestead principle.

With regard to property claim conflicts between owners and workers, let me say that I envision the revolutionary process as the bootstrapping of a non-state system of law and security. The nature of that law would tend to favor selective redistribution of property from state-allied plutocrats to the workers, but redistribution would be an affirmation of property rights (of the workers) rather than their negation. On the other hand, just because someone is rich wouldn’t make it okay to take their stuff. Rather than wealth being judged on amounts, its ownership would be evaluated methodologically (e.g. “How was this acquired?”) with state-granted privilege being regarded as criminal means of acquisition, thus negating the fake state-granted property title.

In other words: Although he may not have a perfect claim to his house, the tenant has a claim far superior than does the bank which relies entirely on government support to remain legally “solvent,” and that the employees of a highly leveraged firm in bankruptcy have a far superior claim than the lenders who “loaned” the corporations money over the years.  I have no idea whether this is enough to appease the communists, the mutualists, the uber-left libertarians.  I hope it would be, primarily because I’m simply not sold on the idea that individuals shouldn’t have the right to own and acquire productive assets, at least not on any moral grounds.  I refuse to listen to any more commie arguments like “Socialism doesn’t permit individuals to own something like a factory.”

At what point along the continuum of production, consumption, and savings, do you draw the line: A man can own an axe and a saw, but not a lumber mill?  He can own a lathe and a press, but he cannot own a building to shelter them?  Nor can he employ others to use them?  Oh, they scream that capital breeds exploitation! or that the freedom to amass capital is what causes human suffering, or some other nonsense that’s contradicted by centuries of history. But in a freed market, the only way that any man can ever acquire anything valuable, is by producing it with his own labor, and/or exchanging it with others.  The latter implies that he’s been able to do something extraordinary for the “common good”, even if that was never his unique intention.

Not everyone who has is guilty of violating someone who has not and a great deal of even those who have not, are in-fact guilty themselves.

Is there a lot of unjust inequality, because of massive amounts of State interference (and church interference, and whatever) over the last few thousand years? Indeed all property has clouded title, if we look back far enough in time.  Are there a lot of people sitting on fortunes that amount to essentially stolen property? To be sure, of course a tremendous amount of inequality exists in the world today, the result not of free markets and peaceful, voluntary exchanges, but rather is the result of state-sanctioned extortion, profiteering, rent-seeking, and monopolization. And although I think it’s a stretch, we could even potentially argue that all inequality in the world today is due to these factors.

But, extrapolating from Brad’s argument above, even if we could eliminate all of these injustices, we can’t assume that all inequality is exploitation; not all inequality is evidence of injustice.  Because people are different, some are smart and others dull, some are apt and others clumsy, some are capable and others incompetent, some frugal and others spendthrifts, because they think differently and value things differently, a certain inequality is destined to exist. It may be more palatable, more tolerable than what we’ve got now, but it will still be inequality.

The fact of the matter is that no matter what “we” do in order to equalize the distribution of property, it’s extremely unlikely that this new distribution is sustainable for even a very short amount of time, without the assistance of a massively totalitarian force.  For the record, I don’t give a damn whether this force is the communist Internationale, or the State’s Army.  They both believe that might makes right.

no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics