no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics

Free Market Banking: A Reply

April 29th, 2009

Shortly after I published A Belated Reply on Fractional Reserve Banking, Jeff Molby inquired of me via email. I sent him a short response with the intent of responding more completely, here. There were a number of good comments/questions raised by other readers, and I do intend to respond to them, in turn. These things take time, however, so for now, you’ll have to content yourself with my response to Jeff.

Jeff writes:

I don’t support the status quo, but I wouldn’t support a society where 100% reserves are required by law, either. The reserve ratio should be negotiable between any individual and his prospective bank.

For instance, I should be free to contract with a hypothetical bank for an account with the following characteristics:
– I can withdraw my funds at any time
– The bank may loan up to 10% of my funds in any way it sees fit (or maybe it’s restricted in some mutually agreed upon way)
– I am responsible for any losses incurred on that 10%
– I am not charged any sort of warehouse fee

So basically, I would be accepting a certain amount of risk in lieu of warehouse fee and the bank is trying to turn a profit by using the 10% in an efficient way.

This may or may not be a standard position… I just never hear anyone talk about it.

I think this position is more common than you think, in fact it’s similar to the model of banking that most people (who are not bankers, financiers, or economists) believe that we have. And there’s absolutely nothing wrong with this model. However, there’s a huge difference between loan-brokering (which is what you’re describing) and fractional reserve banking. The problem is that the status quo is essentially licensed theft, and to the untrained eye it looks and sounds very much like the sort of thing you’re describing. It’s not.

Insisting on the ability to withdraw your funds at any time means that the bank would be in breach if they could not satisfy your withdrawal demand. The fact of the matter is that once you agree to permit the bank discretionary control over how that 10% of your money is allocated, it’s impossible for the bank to guarantee, or for you to insist, that you may withdraw your funds “at any time”. Any contract or agreement of this sort would be contradictory in nature: the second clause permits the violation of the first clause.

If you mark 10% of your deposits as “loans” and accept that they may be in default, then you are bearing the burden of risk and your investments may rise (or fall!) in value. Although in practice you may be able to withdraw the entirety of your balance at any time, this is not guaranteed, nor can it be. The only enforceable claim you would have is if the bank failed to honor your demand for the 90% of your money that they agreed not to loan.

If you really just want to loan money, why can’t you? For starters, as a central bank the Federal Reserve manipulates the money supply and the interest rates. Members of this cabal (for all intents and purposes, these members consist of all banks) are able to borrow money into existence, and lend it at interest. This privilege puts the individual lender at a severe disadvantage, it also hamstrings people who don’t make any loans or carry any debt (by decimating their savings)#:

Wage earners (most of us) are principally the last people to receive this newly created money, and they receive it only after enough time has passed and the primary and noticeable effects of inflation have rippled through the economy. If you wonder why prices rise, it’s because somewhere, someone else got access to a boat-load of newly minted greenbacks which nobody else knew existed (because in fact they did not exist) and used them to place competing bids on the purchases of real resources. — Fiat Credit Is Not a Loan (24 July, 2008)

Even still, until recently, individual lenders were able to find borrowers. But then the SEC banned interpersonal loans on sites like prosper.com which matched individual borrowers and lenders.  (The SEC has since relaxed its ham-fisted ban on Prosper lending.)

Because of the auction-like nature of these loans, even with a modest sum like $500 or $1000, a lender could distribute his investments across multiple borrowers, mitigating default risk. In a truly free market, you wouldn’t need a bank to loan your money, you could do it yourself, and pay the warehousing fees for the rest of your money with your loan proceeds.

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Note: In another recent comment, the question of whether one has a “right” to purchasing power was raised. I do not intend to answer that question presently, although if it were answered in the affirmative, there could be no conceivable justification for fractional reserve banking.

On the Record: Thoughts on Free Banking

April 21st, 2009

Just some thoughts, for the time being.  Nothing substantive, yet.

People use banks not primarily to store money, or to earn interest on their deposits (most people earn an alarmingly paltry return on checkable deposits and savings accounts alike) but to facilitate the tendering and receipt of payments. Many methods of saving/investing are superior to deposit accounts: short-term CDs, mutual funds, diversified and staggered interpersonal loans granted on a P2P site like prosper.com, etc.

The ease with which one can now effect the purchase of a good, immediately and across the continent (or the globe!), is a valuable service in its own right.

Depositors of free fractional-reserve banks have a right (subject to some qualifications/restrictions) to redeem their deposits in base money.  What, if any, would be the criteria for holding bankers personally liable for violating their fiduciary obligations in the event of insolvency?

In what medium are fractional-reserve bank loans denominated and how are they to be repaid? Are borrowers required to repay in base money?  If not, where does the interest portion of their payments come from?

My hunch is that nobody, anywhere, ever, has had an interest-bearing deposit account that, for any chosen time interval, has outperformed durable commodities. (I’ll admit that I’m shooting from the hip with this argument.)

In an advanced economy, monetary evolution results in more-or-less widespread use of fiduciary media.

Why does a fractional reserve bank have to loan out 90% of your money in order to pay you 0.25% interest?

Do you really think that you’re not getting totally fucked by inflation?  Really?

Can the Government Fix 401(k)s?

April 7th, 2009

The only reason I read/watch any mainstream news any more is to find out what sort of bullshit the vast majority of people are swallowing, daily. This article about 401(k)s at Bloomberg News made me laugh.

Lobbying groups representing mutual funds, banks and Wall Street say workers like employer-backed individual plans, especially being able to manage their own accounts. They continue to invest in them…

Of course most people continue to invest in them, because for most people, most of the time, it’s stupid to give away what is essentially “free”, albeit deferred, income. Even though prior to profit-sharing my account was down 40% for the past 12 months, that was all essentially “house money.” Neglecting to contribute to my 401(k) means practically zero marginal take-home income. I “like” my 401(k) the same way I “like” finding a quarter in the parking lot

And then the fear-mongering sets in. Financial industry lobbyists want to see some political action on 401(k) accounts, up to and including a “system similar to plans in Australia and the Netherlands, where professional managers make investment decisions.”

I would be very surprised to learn that “professional managers” aren’t already making the lion’s share of 401(k) investment decisions. After all, they’re the ones who determine which assets constitute which funds, at all times — and since most 401(k) “investors” have a relatively limited group of funds from which to choose (which are ambiguous to all but the most discerning and savvy investors), delegating the final decision-making to some other financial industry insider with a mandate to buy something, anything no matter what, differs from the status quo in no meaningful manner.

“Over the last year, we’ve seen the damage some of the financial wizardry has done,” said Steve Abrecht, director of benefits and capital stewardship at the Service Employees International Union. “Traditional 401(k)s don’t provide enough protection to investment risk.”

Oh, the hilarity! Since people contribute to them without thinking and fund managers are obligated to buy anything, even when all that’s on the ticker is junk I believe 401(k)s are likely the next big economic bubble, predominately because traditional 401(k)s are too restrictive to permit individuals to manage their risks.  For example, I’ve been blogging about the housing/mortgage/real-estate bubble for the better part of 4 years now — or, since I first became aware of the problems in graduate school; there are/were simply no satisfactory funds available to me. It looks like “cash” would’ve been the least-bad option, even though I would’ve been massively ripped off by inflation.

“Wizardry” is a clever term, because it conceals the truth: What we have seen is the damage that can be done by a government, its printing presses, and a banking cartel which depending on who you ask, is either pulling the strings and orchestrating the crimes, or accomplice to the government’s thievery.

In either case, neither the government, nor the financial industry is fit for the task of “fixing” the ways individuals save and invest for the future.

no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics