no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics

More on Gold

January 7th, 2008

Interesting to see that gold continues its rise in the wake of fiat-money expansion by the world’s central banks:

Note that gold smashed the 28-year record just days after the European Central Bank launched its monetary “shock and awe”, showering half a trillion dollars on the banks, with parallel moves by the Fed, the Bank of England and the Swiss. Clearly, a small army of investors is betting – rightly or wrongly – that our debt-bloated democracies are now too decadent to take their punishment. The elites will opt for the easy path of reflation to postpone the day of reckoning.

The banking monopoly is in Fabian’s position, demanding the Earth, plus 5%, demanding interest payments on wealth which never existed.

No one realised that as a whole, the country could never get out of debt until all the coins were repaid, but even then, there were those extra 5 on each 100 which had never been lent out at all. No one but Fabian could see that it was impossible to pay the interest – the extra money had never been issued, therefore someone had to miss out.

Krugman Blames the “Free Market”

December 21st, 2007

Whether you choose to call it a bubble, a recession, a crisis, or a “downturn,” everyone has a solution to or a scapegoat for the current financial “episode.” (relatively neutral, no?) Par-for-the-course, Paul Krugman blames the free market:

In a 1963 essay for [Ayn] Rand’s newsletter, [Alan] Greenspan dismissed as a “collectivist” myth the idea that businessmen, left to their own devices, “would attempt to sell unsafe food and drugs, fraudulent securities, and shoddy buildings.” On the contrary, he declared, “it is in the self-interest of every businessman to have a reputation for honest dealings and a quality product.”

…In Mr. Greenspan’s world, predatory lending — like attempts to sell consumers poison toys and tainted seafood — just doesn’t happen.

…Of course, now that it has all gone bad, people with ties to the financial industry are rethinking their belief in the perfection of free markets.

He says that government should have prevented this. But government caused it!

As an economist, I suspect that Paul Krugman is familiar with the all-important caveat, ceteris paribus. It is this caveat which Krugman has wholly ignored in crafting the free-market straw-man.

Mr. Krugman, with his Ph.D. in Economics from the Massachussetts Institute of Technology, should know better than to characterize our current system as anything even approaching a “free market.” More free than some, certainly. But the market is not free where the price of corn is so heavily subsidized as to make our beer more expensive or unavailable at all. The market is not free where regulations at various levels preclude business owners from deciding whether to allow their patrons to smoke freely in their respective establishments.

“Left to their own devices” under a Randian ideal of unfettered capitalism, big business wouldn’t be in bed with big government, the Federal Reserve would not claim a monopoly on the issuance of money, nor would member banks (namely: all of them) be likely or able to form such a cabal as the Fed.

The market is not free where the interest rates are purposefully and unabashedly manipulated, and where contracts specifying payment in currency other than irredeemable paper banknotes are void.

A free market can not profitably create money out of thin air. It follows that a free market could not possibly have loaned more than their reserves would allow. Scarce reserves and able borrowers preclude a free market from finding borrowers of dubious credit-worthiness. Competition for credit makes it all-but-impossible for housing values to rise 5- or 10-fold in as many years barring other extreme circumstances.

No. By whatever euphemism you choose to call it, a free market did not, and could not have caused the current problems (I prefer “corrections” or “revelations”) in the the financial sector. With its negligently loose monetary policy prevailing for the better part of the decade, the Federal Reserve with its license for theft, is the prime mover for the current “episode.” Where someone criticizes the “free market,” look always for the shadowy hand of government pulling the strings behind the curtains.

The market is not free.

Inflation: The effect vs. the cause

December 14th, 2007

This headline, “Gas Prices Spur Inflation,” in today’s Washington Post is at the very least, misleading. But it’s part of a pattern of general economic ignorance that is pervasive in today’s media.

Like everyone else — the Post is confusing the effect and the cause.

While it may certainly be true that increasing gas prices are an important component of the consumer price level, the rise in gas prices isn’t the cause of inflation. The effects of rising gas prices are certainly being felt throughout the economy, but the cause of inflation is (now and always) monetary expansion.

In other words, what we’re experiencing isn’t really so much of a rise in oil prices, as it is a decline in the dollar’s value.

Subtle, but distinct.

no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics