no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics

Economies of Scale, the Faustian Bargain

July 24th, 2008

Some people say that Wal-Mart does a good job providing low-cost goods, and its success is indicative of its superior ability to satisfy customers. But I can win any game, if I’m allowed to write and re-write the rules on a whim.

Consider that recently, Wal-mart favored the recent minimum wage hike.  Already paying its employees significantly more than the minimum wage, Wal-mart had nothing to lose, but the effects of such legislation would be a blow to smaller competitors. The retailers and smaller stores on the margin, and the people who work at those stores were the ones who as a result, face artificially high barriers to entry. Even some of the bigger stores began automating processes previously performed by lower-wage employees.

This is but one solution to the challenges of a pseudo-market economy:  grow a business that is so big that the government has to listen. And by “listen,” I really mean “steal money from productive people in order to prop up your Brontosaur of a business model.”
Aside from being plain fucking evil, it’s hard to do this unless you’re already pretty well-connected, or independently wealthy. Plus, whatever the government giveth, so too can the government taketh away. Many a company has fallen out of favor and become victim of the hand that used to feed it.

The “economies of scale” that we learn about in school are essentially a fiction. Step in to any big company and you’ll see the same thing: a handful of really talented people banging their heads against cubes, running into invisible walls erected by corporate culture, groupthink, and bureaucracy, tasked with creating synergy, or building efficiency, or improving processes, or some other made-up HBR newspeak.

Think “Six Sigma.”

There will be periodical discussions about how the large company can best share its resources and knowledge across its many disparate teams and departments, when the fact of the matter is that resources and knowledge distribution can’t be maximized in the absence of a market economy.

This is the case, always and everywhere, because “economies of scale” is really a euphemism for “special privileges and immunities.” A company can’t get economies of scale without paying a pretty hefty price. In return, the businesses have become tax collectors and watchdogs for the government, and most of what they produce is ultimately confiscated. Every aspect of what they do is monitored, reported, watched, scrutinized, regulated, legislated. The entrepreneurs and people who started a business for love of meaningful work, have more often than not, struck a terribly Faustian deal.

But Faust always had the opportunity to redeem himself, he just couldn’t believe it.

If we were to abolish all the massive government subsidies and benefits bestowed on large corporations, it’s really possible for a much smaller enterprise to be competitive. Small companies don’t have the political clout, the insider connections, or the money to make politics happen in their favor. This is why large companies are typically behind legislation in restraint of trade. Think of just about any major monopoly, and there’s a government behind it. How about AT&T, Microsoft, and Northern Securities, to name a few . Wal-mart is but a recent example.

There is another solution to the challenges of a pseudo-market economy, though: what if the smaller enterprise can find a way to evade the spiders’ webs of regulations and restrictions and taxes, it can provide greater value at lesser cost than the large, subsidized counterparts?

The Peak Oil Myth

March 25th, 2008

Some people find my blog by searching for “peak oil myth.”

Although I’ve previously said things like, “Oil isn’t running out, yet. And it never will,” I’d like to clarify here: peak oil is definitely not a myth. There will come a time when the production of oil will diminish at accelerating rates, and the price of oil will rise proportionally.

What I mean when I talk about the “peak oil myth” is the conclusions so often drawn from the concept of peak-anything. The presumption, mistaken of course, is that as oil becomes more expensive, mankind will be impoverished and perhaps cease to exist in a bloody armageddon over the last drops! This can’t be so, can it?

Of course not! As oil becomes more expensive, the opportunity costs of other fuels becomes comparatively less expensive. These are some of the same sources of energy which my callous inner-economist decries as socialist drivel, like solar power or hydrogen. These are only bad ides insofar as they’re economically unviable at the present, and therefore any State subsidization of these sources constitutes outright waste.

As other sources of energy become more viable, economically, investment in these resources will be stimulated. Competition among market participants will lead to technological innovations, and the accompanying savings brought about by competitive price reductions. Ultimately in real terms, the prices of these alternative energy sources will probably be lower than the current price of oil, because some alternative sources are economically abundant.

Because of this, there is no justifiable reason to make people pay more now (through tax-subsidies) for something that will ultimately be less costly in the future!

Fed Reaches for Hammer, Again

March 19th, 2008

I’m a few days late on this, so please nobody accuse me of piling on. This will probably be my only post specifically related to Bear Stearns, because really I just don’t give a shit about the specifics anymore. Everything the Fed does, all government policy, is backwards, hamfisted, and counterproductive. So is the JPMC bailout of Bear. I’m not surprised.

Wasn’t it just last week, that the Fed “injected” something like $200B into the financial markets to promote liquidity? Something must’ve gone horribly awry, because the price of gas is going through the roof, and then this Bear Stearns fiasco happened, where with Uncle Sam’s encouragement, JPMC is able to buy the Fund at something like a 90% discount and get a federal guarantee on the toxic investments that they inherited for free! It must be really nice to earn risk-free profits, underwritten by the population at large.

Along with taking on the risks associated with Bear’s assets, the Fed

will now make it possible for investment banks to borrow money as long as they put up collateral. The Fed in effect is offering to be a lender of last resort for 20 major Wall Street firms, a role it has previously played only for commercial banks.

[These] “primary dealers” [will have], access to cash in exchange for assets in which the market is not currently functioning.

Nothing chaps my ass like someone telling me the “market isn’t functioning,” because what’s ordinarily happening is that there is no market, or what’s left of one is so hamstrung by regulation, interference, and distorted price signals, that functioning properly is rendered almost impossible. But these people are talking about the market for securities that nobody in their right fucking mind wants to buy, and lamenting the fact that nobody is buying them. Because there’s a qualitative difference between a market which isn’t functioning, and a market which clears goods and services at prices you deem unsatisfactory. Markets clear!

We’re bailing out the big boys, injecting liquidity, and watching smaller players (e.g., Countrywide, New Century, and now Bear Stearns) go under left and right, isn’t there a pretty serious problem here? A decade of loose monetary policy has just put us between a rock and another very hard place, and the only policy response is “more loose monetary policy.”

It just goes to show that when the only tool you have at your disposal is a hammer, sooner or later, everything starts to look like a nail.

Sometimes, though, you just need to start tearing things down.

no third solution

Blogging about liberty, anarchy, economics and politics